Fed Fully Expected To Raise Interest Rates By 75bps (EUR/USD, EUR/GBP), BoE Interest Rate Decision Due On Thursday (GBP/CAD)

Summary:

• The Fed’s Wednesday's anticipated 75 basis point hike may be the last of its sort.
• The likelihood of a recession in the Euro Area has grown.
• The BoE decision on Thursday is the most significant event of the week for the Pound.

Markets anticipate the Fed’s policy rate decision

The market is reflecting bearish signals for this currency pair. With the Federal Reserve's policy announcement on Wednesday and the crucial U.S. jobs data on Friday, this is a crucial week for global FX. Therefore, the Dollar side of the equation will be the driving force behind the Euro to Dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD), especially now that the European Central Bank's October policy meeting is over. The possibility of a "pivot" by the Federal Reserve, whereby they signal that Wednesday's anticipated 75 basis point hike will be the last of its sort and that hikes will proceed at a slower rate starting in December, is particularly exciting for investors in the financial markets. According to some analysts, this could support the idea that the U.S. Dollar has reached its top, or the "pivot," as it is known in the financial community.

✕ EUR/USD Price Chart

Likelihood of Eurozone recession has increased

The market is reflecting mixed signals for this currency pair. According to a new report, the decline in UK home prices has just started. Capital Economics researchers predict falls of about 12% by 2024 on the same day Nationwide announces the first drop in home values in 15 months.

The likelihood of a recession in the Euro Area has grown, according to ECB President Christine Lagarde, who also stated that while uncertainty is still high, "a central bank has to focus on its duty." The destination is clear, but we are not there yet', said President Lagarde.

✕ EUR/GBP Price Chart

GBP at risk due to UK economy

The Pound to Canadian Dollar exchange rate recently hit four-month highs, but numerous technical barriers are standing in the way of its ascent on the charts, and Thursday's Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision carries risks that could further thwart its recovery in the days and weeks to come. Since hitting record lows near 1.40 in late September, the value of the pound has increased by more than 10% against the Canadian dollar. Last Friday, it reached a high of 1.5811, but it has been unable to hold that level due to a number of technical resistances that are scattered across the chart around the 1.57 handle.

The BoE decision on Thursday is the most significant event of the week for the Pound and comes before Friday's release of Canada's September employment report. However, Sterling is at risk due to the UK economy's deteriorating performance and prospects, which are at odds with widely held beliefs about the outlook for bank rates.

✕ GBP/CAD Price Chart

Sources: finance.yahoo.com, dailyfx.com, poundsterlinglive.com