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Dollar rate amid Trump's storm. Political chaos will plunge forecasts for USD/PLN and EUR/USD?

Escalation of tensions in the Middle East once again shakes financial markets. Decisions made in Washington, including a vote in the House of Representatives, fuel debate about Donald Trump's role in managing the conflict. Meanwhile investors remain in a heightened risk-averse mode, thereby strengthening the U.S. dollar.

Dollar rate amid Trump's storm. Political chaos will plunge forecasts for USD/PLN and EUR/USD?
BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/East News
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Table of contents

  1. Is Trump failing in the Middle East?
    1. Dollar and euro rates on Tuesday, June 9

      Is Trump failing in the Middle East?

      Prime Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu announced the suspension of Israeli military operations against Iran.

      In a Monday television address he also emphasized that the above decision does not mean abandoning retaliatory actions

      As reported by Israeli station N12, military operations carried out by Israel in southern Lebanon will "continue with full force".

      Read also: Will oil prices shoot to $200 per barrel? Another "surprise" in the fuel market after attacks in the Middle East

      The Iranian Joint Chiefs of Staff warned, however, that if Israel continues attacks, also in Lebanon, "one should expect far harsher and more crushing actions than so far".

      Iran and Israel agreed to limit mutual attacks after a sudden escalation of tensions that threatened to collapse ongoing peace negotiations.

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      The team at ING Think claims that events still affect the dollar’s rate, which has gained value in recent days.

      "In the current situation it is hard to deny, that the dollar is strong. Data still indicate a healthy U.S. economy, and the latest military actions between the U.S. and Iran have increased risk aversion in global markets," analysts said.

      Economists point out that military actions continue despite the U.S. House of Representatives adopting a resolution calling on Donald Trump to withdraw U.S. forces from Iran.

      They emphasize that the vote carries a significant political message, but does not block the administration’s ability to carry out further military actions.

      "It underscores the internal pressure to reach a peace agreement, but markets already understand this and it has not yet translated into tangible progress in negotiations," they added.

      The station CNBC described the vote result as "Donald Trump’s latest defeat in Congress".

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      The resolution was adopted with a vote of 215 to 208, despite the Republican Party holding a slim majority in both the House and the Senate.

      "The vote is largely symbolic. Every resolution would also need to be adopted by the Senate to take effect, and would require a two‑thirds majority in both chambers to break Trump’s near‑certain veto," the explanation read.

      However, concern arises from how the President of the United States manages the escalating conflict that has been ongoing since the end of February.

      Read also: Dollar’s long road to 4 PLN? Expert issued forecasts for USD/PLN and EUR/USD. "The dollar may gain"

       

      See also: Will the dollar surprise again? Expert issued a forecast for USD/PLN and EUR/USD. "I can’t believe there won’t be more fires"

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      Dollar and euro rates on Tuesday, June 9

      The dollar to zloty rate on Tuesday, June 9 is at 3,66 PLN

       

      Chart. Dollar to zloty rate (USD/PLN)

      dollar rate amid trumps storm political chaos will plunge forecasts for usdpln and eurusd grafika numer 1dollar rate amid trumps storm political chaos will plunge forecasts for usdpln and eurusd grafika numer 1

      Source: Trading Economics.

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      The euro to dollar rate reaches 1,15 USD.

       

      Chart. Euro to dollar rate (EUR/USD)

      dollar rate amid trumps storm political chaos will plunge forecasts for usdpln and eurusd grafika numer 2dollar rate amid trumps storm political chaos will plunge forecasts for usdpln and eurusd grafika numer 2

      Source: Trading Economics.

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      Read also: Dollar before a chance to break out? Expert: "Capital will flow back to USD"

       

      See also: Dollar before a "nervous and dynamic" move, euro waiting for a drop? Expert issued a forecast for USD/PLN and EUR/USD

       

      Sources: Bloomberg, ING Think, CNBC.

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      FXMAG Team

      FXMAG Team

      FXMAG’s editorial team creates high-quality content on financial markets, investing, and the global economy. We provide timely analysis and clear insights to help our audience navigate complex market dynamics.


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