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usd what can we expect from us dollar index dxy grafika numer 1usd what can we expect from us dollar index dxy grafika numer 1

We talked about the situation on the DXY index a little more than two weeks ago. Apparently, its internal structure shows the completion of the global corrective trend, which took the form of a triple zigzag consisting of five main cycle waves w-x-y-x-z.

It is possible that the market has now begun the formation of the initial part of a new bearish trend.

It is assumed that the bears are starting to build the first impulse sub-wave of the potential standard zigzag â’¶-â’·-â’¸. The end of the impulse â’¶ is possible at a minimum of 107.67, which is marked by a minuette fourth correction.

An approximate scheme of possible future movement is shown on the chart.

usd what can we expect from us dollar index dxy grafika numer 2usd what can we expect from us dollar index dxy grafika numer 2

However, another option is also possible, in which the formation of a cycle triple zigzag is not yet fully completed.

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Most likely, at the level of 104.60, the bearish cycle wave x was completed, which took the form of a standard zigzag â’¶-â’·-â’¸ of the primary degree. After that, an upward impulse price movement in the wave z began.

The wave z may take the form of a zigzag â’¶-â’·-â’¸, where the first impulse and correction are already completed.

The entire wave z may complete its pattern near 119.56. At that level, it will be at the 76.4% Fibonacci extension of wave y.


Jing Ren

Jing Ren

Jing-Ren has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London. Later on he worked as a senior analyst within the FX brokerage industry where he developed strategies in trading and risk management. With solid understanding of market dynamics he founded Wensfer to offer research and asset management services.


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