Intraday Market Analysis – Gold Needs Catalyst
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Gold consolidates as traders await the Fed’s monetary policy update. The metal came under pressure after it erased all gains from the November rally.
Price action is stuck in a narrowing range between the daily support at 1760 and 1806. This indicates the market’s indecision.
A bearish breakout would confirm the bearish MA cross on the daily chart and trigger an extended sell-off towards the floor at 1680. On the upside, a rally would send the price to retest the previous peak at 1870.
The pound bounced back after Britain showed strong wage growth in the three months to October.
A bullish RSI divergence indicated a loss of momentum in the latest sell-off. A break above 1.6770 and then a bullish MA cross were the confirmation for a reversal.
The pair is heading towards the daily resistance level at 1.7100. Its breach may lead to a broader rally in the medium term. In the meantime, an overbought RSI could temporarily limit the extension. 1.6900 is the closest support in case of a pullback.
Oil prices struggled after the International Energy Agency said that the omicron strain may threaten global demand.
WTI crude is hovering under the 20-day moving average after the RSI briefly shot into the overbought territory. 74.10 near the 30-day moving average seems to be a tough nut to crack for now.
A bullish breakout would attract momentum buyers and send the price to the daily resistance at 79.00. Otherwise, 68.00 from the latest rally is the support to keep the rebound valid.