After three sessions of correction in US equities, the Dow Jones is attempting a comeback.
The move comes in the shadow of what had been a heavily risk-on pre-FOMC environment, where expectations for rate cuts kept fueling a wave of optimism across markets.
The US Dollar has been enjoying a renaissance of sorts this week with gains largely down to US data not being bad at all.
Looking at the data this week, the sales rate for US new homes spiked back to levels last seen in early 2022.
Volatility is back again after relatively unsurprising sessions since the past week FOMC.
It seems that the since last week, the 2025 theme of currency debasing, seeing a huge rally in metals (Gold, Silver at their yearly highs) and equities was intact after the September meeting which resulted in a cut.
The US Dollar has been rallying steadily since its pre-FOMC lows, with Powell’s not-so-dovish speech last week marking the start of a V-shape reversal from the sharp pre-meeting downfall.
Upside surprises in the final US GDP numbers and jobless claims make it difficult for markets to agree on upcoming Fed cuts. A benign PCE reading on Friday won't change that, but payrolls data next week should be more pivotal. Euro rate markets are keen to follow the bearish mood as a stronger dollar reduces disinflationary
Jobless claims dropped back sharply yesterday, a rare positive development for the US jobs market and the dollar. But we still think the greenback is due to give up its post-Fed gains in the near term. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan surprised with a hawkish vote split as it held rates unchanged today, raising the chances of an October hike and JPY outperformance
FX Daily: Data holds the key to FOMC balance. We expect the dollar to become more sensitive to data in the near term, as markets seek a catalyst to double down on recent dovish Fed speculation. Employment figures may be subject to closer examination, with the rationale that a softer jobs market can convert a few hawks after mild inflation failed to do so. EUR/USD continues to face upside risks
Stocks ended higher ahead of President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement. Treasury yields rose following the private payrolls and manufacturing data. The dollar fell against major currencies, while gold climbed on safe-haven demand. Oil prices edged higher.
Stocks ended down, while the dollar strengthened as traders awaited auto tariffs to be announced by President Donald Trump. Treasury yields, meanwhile, inched higher as investors weighed potential exemptions to those tariffs. Oil prices jumped on reports of a dip in U.S. crude oil inventories. Gold eased but remained above the $3,000 per ounce level.
The Dow and the S&P 500 ended nearly unchanged, recovering from earlier lows following President Donald Trump’s comments on tariff reprieve. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose but traded in a tight range on tariff and economic concerns. The dollar gained putting pressure on gold prices. Oil edged up as fresh Iran sanctions and latest output plan from the OPEC+ raised supply concerns.
Stocks advanced as cooler-than- expected inflation data helped stanch a sharp selloff, while the escalation of U.S. President Donald Trump's chaotic, multi-front tariff war kept gains in check.
The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 ended higher, while the dollar strengthened as cooler-than-expected inflation data calmed tariff concerns. Meanwhile, Treasury yields gained on potential inflationary impact of global trade war. Oil prices jumped on lower-than- expected oil and fuel inventories in the U.S. Safe-haven gold rose.
