Next week, we’ll be watching for September’s delayed US jobs report and the release of October's more hawkish Fed minutes, which could dampen hopes for a December rate cut. We also expect the National Bank of Hungary to hold rates while signalling they’ll remain high for some time, with the release of Czech PPI data also due
Risk sentiment remains resilient and largely unaffected by factors such as French politics. While this should support EUR rates grinding higher and spreads – outside of France – still tighter, plenty of risks are looming. US rates are another directional driver, and today US data is in focus ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision
The US Dollar has been in a weird trading zone since the contradicting NFP report from the beginning of the month (forcing a dovish hand) and the strong PPI report that has shown the appearance of tariff effects (forcing a hawkish hand).
Stocks finished lower amid escalating trade war concerns. Longer-dated Treasury yields rose, reversing earlier declines, after German debt brake deal. The dollar slipped, while safe-haven gold gained. Oil prices hit 6-month low on OPEC+ output increase announcement and pause in Ukraine aid.
The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 tumbled and the dollar slipped in the face of mounting economic uncertainties. Treasury yields also slipped following a dour consumer confidence report. Oil prices plunged on tariff worries. Profit booking pushed gold prices to their lowest level in over a week.
