Higher-than-expected Japanese inflation in October, together with improvements in production and retail sales, suggests growth is bottoming out toward quarter-end, while price pressures continue to intensify. The Bank of Japan may consider an earlier rate increase
It has been a quieter trading session overnight after the risk-off start to the week. The Nikkei 225 index is unchanged after yesterday’s sharp 4.1% sell-off. Similarly, the major foreign exchange rates have been relatively stable overnight ahead of the release tomorrow of President Trump’s plans for “reciprocal tariffs”.
CFTC’s data suggest room for a short-term rebound in USDJPY up to around 153
The sharp move higher in yields outside of US has been an important driver of US dollar weakness at the start of this year. The 10-year JGB yield hit a fresh year to date high overnight of 1.58% and has now risen by around 40 basis points year to date.
