USD/MXN: Peso holds gains, political calendar drifts into view
Political Calendar Looms as Mexican Peso Holds Ground
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The Mexican peso remains one of the top FX performers of the year and is only surpassed by the Colombian peso (offering 14.4% implied yields!). Investors like the high carry in Mexico, the well-run economy and the exposure to surprisingly strong US growth so far this year. Indeed, worker remittances back to Mexico hit a record $5.7bn high in May.
Banxico is promising an extended period of high rates (currently 11.25% policy rate), but will probably cut with the Fed in first quarter of 2024.
Politics looks the only shadow over the strong peso story, with Mexican elections next June and US elections next November. For the time being, however, expect MXN to hold gains.