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This year's Autumn Budget could be seismic for UK markets. We think it's more likely to push gilt yields down than up, yet there are several ways – from fiscal rule changes to dubious austerity pledges – which could cause borrowing costs to spike
Romanian consumers have recently hit the brakes, signalling increased caution. While some of the August slowdown can be attributed to pre-emptive spending ahead of tax hikes, that doesn’t fully explain the drop. We do not expect this steep decline to become the norm, but caution is likely to persist into year-end and early 2026
