And I‘m expected slow job market deterioration in the weeks and few months ahead, beyond DOGE cost cutting. Tariffs will also come into play – we‘re seeing that with lumber and Canada – and China situation remains also unresolved while Ukraine peace push is ongoing.
But the true, additional headline risk Friday was that new coronavirus bat strain discovery practically on the 2020 anniversary, Vance speech in Europe echo, and finally the Lazarus $1.5bn crypto heist affecting risk taking in general, too.
The situation only highlights the necessity to rely on quality real-time updates and full scale analysis – not just at these quick turning points where getting my outlook is most beneficial for your own decision making – e.g. which ES support level would be worth considering for the buyers to step in (hint – it was not yet 6,088 – the bear flag on hourly broke immediately to the downside), how much more pain there is ahead – how would swing or intraday traders ideally approach Friday‘s shift?
That was exactly the subject of the above Friday‘s second daily video – and the super extensive weekend one laying bare the drivers of Friday‘s (must watch) daily crash, macro landscape when Japan is coming back to the fore – let‘s thus compare currencies, Japanese and US yields, yield curve steepening, various commodities and metrics of volatility be it in the stock market or bonds – that‘s what Saturday‘s packed video is all about. In its final part, I compare the weekly S&P 500 chart to the daily one, presenting various supports and resistances, so make sure to watch it in full.
Highly awaited are Wednesday‘s NVDA earnings (have you noticed how tech is positioning ahead of these?), and I talk further in the clients section how‘s that exactly looking. Forget not about CB consumer confidence Tuesday and core PCE Friday. Next week will be rich!
Here are also a few slides on current volatility (both of equities and of the bond market) so as to whet your appetite for the extensive Saturday‘s video – together with quick BTC and ETH follow-up.
