US Dollar rally seems to be coming to an end, GBP rebounded on Monday

Summary:

• Many ECB policymakers have reiterated the central bank's stance on interest rates and inflation.
• The British Pound is weaker on Tuesday after making a good rebound on Monday.

ECB remaining hawkish

The market is reflecting bullish signals for this currency pair. Many ECB policymakers have reiterated the central bank's stance on interest rates and inflation, contending that higher rates must be maintained for a longer period of time in order to contain double-digit price pressures. The financial wires are awash in hawkish ECB language in what appears to be a coordinated effort to reassert the central bank's authority and will on the rates market. At the end of October, the ECB raised interest rates by 75 basis points to 1.50%, its third straight increase and the highest level since 2009. At its meeting on December 15, the central bank is anticipated to increase rates by an additional 50 basis points.

The US dollar is under pressure as speculators start to look past rising US rate predictions and instead focus on when the Fed may pause its tightening cycle, while the Euro has benefited from expectations of higher rates. The fact that the markets are already anticipating a turnaround, even though this may be months away, is putting pressure on the dollar.

✕ EUR/USD Price Chart

GBP supported by general market uptrend

The market is expecting bullish signals for this currency pair. The British Pound is weaker on Tuesday after making a good rebound on Monday, and price movement suggests that the UK currency is following global trends during a week with few domestic events. Analysts note that the UK's domestic situation is still difficult and that any gains are likely to be fleeting.

Despite this, the Pound had the best performance among the major currencies on Monday as global markets continued their recent uptrend, helping the UK currency to somewhat recoup its losses following last Thursday's Bank of England report. The Pound's recovery may continue over the next several days if the mood music is generally cheerful.

✕ GBP/USD Price Chart

US dollar is believed to be nearing the end of its uptrend

The market is expecting bullish signals for this currency pair. Capital Economics experts believe that the Dollar may be nearing the end of a multi-month uptrend, but they caution that it is still too early to start preparing for a rollover and trend change. The Federal Reserve is reaching the conclusion of its tightening cycle, according to analysis by the independent financial and economics research source, and as a result, there is little room for a further widening of predicted interest rate differentials in favor of the Dollar. The war in Ukraine, anticipation of Fed interest rate increases, and a post-pandemic decline in equity markets have all worked together to strengthen the Dollar.

✕ GBP/USD Price Chart

Sources: finance.yahoo.com, dailyfx.com, poundsterlinglive.com