The EUR/USD Pair Maintains A Steady Upward Trend, The Aussie Pair Keeps Close To 0.69
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Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave no policy guidance at Tuesday's panel discussion in Stockholm, and with other Fed officials saying their next moves will depend on the data, investors are very focused on the US CPI data.
The dollar has weakened sharply in recent months on hopes that U.S. inflation is declining, which, along with some signs of pressure on the U.S. economy, is fueling expectations that the Fed is nearing the end of its rate hike program.
In terms of energy, both the UK and the Eurozone have benefited from the fall in oil and gas prices, but with sanctions and price caps tightening on Russia, Russian retaliation could push energy costs up again.
USD/JPY
The USD/JPY pair is rising today and trading above 132.7500. What's more, the pair keeps its trade above 132.0000 for second day
The current term of BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda ends in April, and former Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Sayuri Shirai has called for a review of the Bank's policies over the past 10 years in light of the changing inflation landscape.
Moreover, the generally positive tone in the equity markets is weakening the safe haven of the Japanese yen and providing some support for the USD/JPY pair.
In addition, broader risk sentiment will be taken into account for short-term trading opportunities around the USD/JPY pair.
AUD/USD
The AUD/USD pair traded above the $0.69 level in the Asian and European sessions. Currently the Aussie pair is below 0.69, trading above 0.6880 at the time of writing
The Australian dollar remains high, continuing to push towards the five-month high seen on Monday near 0.6950.
Today's retail sales were 1.4% month-on-month in November, well above the forecast of 0.6% and -0.2% previously. The year-on-year figure to the end of November was 7.4%, not the expected 7.2% and 6.9% earlier.
The data shows a downward correction in retail sales in early 2021, but an acceleration in November.
Today, the monthly CPI for November was also released, with the headline CPI year-on-year printed at 7.4%, above estimates of 7.2% and 6.9% earlier.
Markets are currently divided over whether the RBA will deliver another rate hike in February.
China changed its Covid-19 policy in December and the reopening of the world's second largest economy could provide further opportunities for Australian exports.
Frosty relations between Australia and China appear to be thawing, which could provide additional stimulus to the Australian economy.
Source: investing.com
EUR/USD
The EUR/USD exchange rate maintains a steady upward trend after reaching a 20-year low of 0.9535 in September.
EUR/USD regained traction and turned positive during the day near 1.0750. Currently, the pair is trading just below this level (1.0743)
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Mario Centeno said late Tuesday that the current process of interest rate hikes may be coming to an end. As for the inflation outlook, Centeno noted that inflation may encounter some resistance in January and February before starting to decline in March. Nevertheless, these comments had no noticeable impact on the euro's valuation.
The hawkish narrative was reinforced by one of the more aggressive officials in Isabel Schnabel, while ECB's Villeroy spoke in today's speech, stating the need for additional rate hikes in the coming months.
Given this, higher relative rate hikes could support the strength of the euro over the next few months.
Read next: According To Analysts, Russia May Collapse Within A Decade, Guaranty Trust Bank Has Fined| FXMAG.COM
GBP/USD
GBP/USD extended its downward correction towards 1.2100 during European trading hours on Wednesday. Improving market sentiment seems to be helping GBP/USD to contain losses for now.
The Bank of England (BoE) is projected to move slightly slower than other central banks (e.g. ECB), given that the rate hike cycle started much earlier than the ECB.
Source: finance.yahoo.com, investing.com, dailyfx.com
