Renovation Market Resilient: Navigating Volatility and Driving Growth

Development of production volumes in Western Europe (EC-15), % YoY
From a historic perspective, demand for renovation and maintenance has recently been remarkably volatile. During the first Covid-19 lockdown, people were reluctant to have handymen in their homes. This gradually changed and demand for improvement grew rapidly in 2021 as many people suddenly required a “home office” as remote work became the norm. In addition, consumers had spare money to invest in their homes as they couldn’t spend their savings on holidays during the pandemic.
In 2022, skyrocketing energy prices (caused by the Ukraine War) decreased consumers’ purchasing power. This resulted in a downturn in the number of people that wanted to refurbish their homes. In contrast, the demand for energy-efficient investments (eg. solar panels, insulation and heat pumps) has grown as the payback period for these refurbishments has dropped enormously. Many governments also offer subsidies for energy-related renovation projects.
Balance of EU consumers that expect to improve their home over the next 12 months
All in all, despite the temporary circumstances caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and the energy crisis, the trajectory for residential energy efficiency upgrades remains promising. Looking ahead, we expect gradual growth in the renovation market due to sustained government regulations and the structural impact of higher energy prices. Therefore, the demand for residential energy efficiency upgrades is likely to continue its upward trend.