
Economy


Weak Chinese inflation is bad for the markets

A proxy of global food prices, Invesco DB Agriculture ETF, has continued to increase to a 12-month high

Asia week ahead: Policy meetings in China and the Philippines

Philippines’ first quarter GDP surprises on the upside but could mark the peak

Rates Spark: Hawkish white noise

BoE rates may remain uncut until the middle of 2024. Bank of England is expected to hike the rates 12th time in a row today

Rates unchanged in Poland; balance of risks skewed to earlier cuts

US core inflation hits 5.5% and it's the second lowest reading since November 2021

April delivers the first marked drop in Hungarian inflation

US inflation continues to run too hot, but there are glimmers of hope

Another month of contracting industrial production in Italy

Rates Spark: US CPI looks sticky, but primed to fall

Asia Morning Bites - 10.05.2023

Hungarian budget posts biggest April deficit on record

European utilities commitment to investment remains high

German inflation is slowing, but ECB wants to do more

Poland central bank preview

Rates Spark: Crunch time

Asia Morning Bites - 09.05.2023

Disappointing German March macro data increase risk of technical recession

Three make-or-break crises impacting the US

Asia Morning Bites - 08.05.2023

There’s still life in the US jobs market, but challenges are mounting

Hungary’s retail sales and industrial output continue to tumble

Bank of England: Four scenarios for the May meeting

Eurozone retail sales fell more than expected in March

National Bank of Romania preview: waiting for inflation to fall

Indonesia: first quarter GDP steady despite high inflation and slowing global trade

Philippines: Inflation edges lower again in April

Asia Morning Bites - 05.05.2023

Asia week ahead: Inflation readings from China and India

Spanish tourism boom propping up a weakening economy

Asia Morning Bites - 04.05.2023

The Czech National Bank is sounding more hawkish

Expect the ECB to keep increasing rates at the short-term, at least until the summer

Negative impact of ECB tightening cycle and banking turmoil is unfolding

Poland’s PMI dips further in April amid poor output and orders

Norway: Krone’s weakness remains central ahead of another rate hike

Indonesia: Headline inflation dips again in April

Australia: Reserve Bank surprises with 25bp hike

Italian headline inflation bounces in April on base effects

RBA rate hike helps AUD form reversal

China: Manufacturing PMI contracts in April

This week Federal Reserve and ECB decide on rates. US Labour market data go public on Friday

Monitoring Hungary: Gloom with some silver linings

German headline inflation continues gradual downward trend in April

Italian GDP growth surprisingly strong in first quarter

Poland’s CPI inflation down in April on food prices

Hungary’s unemployment does not budge

Asia Morning Bites - 02.05.2023

Eurozone economy grew marginally in the first quarter of 2023, but divergence is high

Taiwan’s GDP contracted more than expected in first quarter

Bank of Japan stays on hold but policy adjustment is coming

France: Exports boost GDP while inflation increases again

German economy not out of recessionary danger, yet

Spain’s economic growth picks up while core inflation falls again

Rates Spark: The last piece of the jigsaw

US GDP growth disappoints as corporate America comes under pressure

Spanish unemployment rate rises slightly

Czech National Bank Preview: Rates likely unchanged; hawks rear their heads

US GDP: The GDP number covers an odd quarter which was deceivingly strong over the first couple of months due to weather distortions

Asia week ahead: RBA policy meeting plus regional trade data

US GDP Quick Analysis: Three reasons why the GDP report shows resilience, USD set to extend gains

Rates Spark: Waiting for that smoking gun

Asia Morning Bites - 27.04.2023

Riksbank: Growing dissent hinders efforts to support the krona

ECB preview: a 25bp compromise rate hike

Australia: March inflation falls further

National Bank of Hungary Review: A new beginning without commitment

Rates Spark: Bonds are back...in their range

Base effects distort Hungarian wages data
Taiwan’s economic outlook: a challenging year as global semiconductor sales slump

Monitoring Czech Republic: The inflationary tide is slowly receding

Conotoxia's analyst on Fed: A reasonable scenario for the May 3 meeting would be to continue the trend and raise the interest rates by the same amount to 5.00%

It should be noted that BoJ’s decade-long ultra-loose stimulus program has drawn intense criticism for broadening price pressures in the world's third-largest economy

Poland’s economy has bottomed but anaemic growth lies ahead

This week's calendar looks striking! US GDP, Bank of Japan rate decision, Sainsbury earnings and more

German Ifo improves marginally in April

Asia Morning Bites - 24.04.2023

US Flash, that is to say preliminary, PMI for April came in at a better-than-expected 50.4 versus a downwardly revised 49.2 in March and a forecast 49

UK retail sales weak due to high prices

Poland’s labour market cools but wage pressures persist

Eurozone economy boosted by service sector growth

Worst behind us for UK retail despite fall in sales

Rates Spark: Ranges are holding for now

Eurozone consumer confidence continues to improve at low levels

Spanish business confidence improves, but may be short-lived

ECB minutes signal growing divide about size of future rate hikes

Riksbank preview: A hawkish 50bp hike to support the krona

World trade to see big shifts and weaker growth in 2023

Asia week ahead: Bank of Japan’s first meeting with new governor

Japan’s economic recovery is being driven by a tourism boom

Listen: Emerging markets remain resilient amid uncertainty

Looking past the peak of Fed key rates

RoboForex analyst on Eurozone inflation: However, it's important to note that food prices continue to be a significant factor driving inflation

Eightcap analyst after UK CPI: It is an interesting position now for the Bank of England., do they need to go back to a few 50-point hikes to cut into the CPI rate?

Sticky UK inflation data helps unlock May rate hike

UK inflation goes above 10% seventh time in a row. Core inflation hit 6.2%
