The German CPI Reached The Forecast Level, The Inflation Report From America Ahead
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Today, mainly important reports from the United States will appear. The report on inflation and the number of requests for unemployment insurance may significantly affect traders and give a picture of the condition of the US economy. On the old continent, we will mainly focus on the result of the German CPI.
German CPI
The monthly change and the annual consumer price index met expectations. The monthly change in the German CPI reached 1.9% and rose from 0.3%. Similarly, there was an increase in the annual change of the CPI from the level of 7.9% to the level of 10.0%.
Switzerland Producer Price Index
There were no forecasts for the Switzerland Producer Price Index. The monthly price of the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers rose from -0.1% to 0.2%. After weak readings in July and August, this is a positive signal for this sector. On the other hand, the PPI YoY fell by 0.1%, thus reaching the level of 5.4%.
BOE Credit Conditions Survey
The Bank of England (BoE) will published the results of their Credit Conditions Survey for Q3, 2022.
The bank conducts such research every quarter. As part of the Bank of England mission to maintain monetary and financial stability, the bank conducts research to understand credit trends and changes. Today's quarterly survey of construction banks and lenders contributes to this work. The survey covers:
- Secured and unsecured loans to households.
- Loans for non-financial corporations, small businesses and non-bank financial companies.
Speeches of the day
At 8:00 CET the first speech of the day was the speech from Germany. The speaker was President Nagel. He is also voting member of the ECB Governing Council. He's believed to be one of the most influential members of the council. For this reason, his speech may significantly affect the monetary situation of the euro zone.
The next speech will be from the Bank of England which is set at 13:00 CET. Dr Catherine L Mann serves as a member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England. Her public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
US Core CPI
The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy.
The current reading of the indicator is expected to decline by 0.1% to 0.5%. The previous reading was at 0.6% and it was an increase from the July drop (0.3%).
On the other hand, the annual change in the index is forecasted at 6.5%. And it may mean an increase from the level of 6.3%.
US CPI
Today the US inflation report will be published. This report can significantly impact the foreign exchange market.
Read more about forecasts for the current level: https://www.fxmag.com/forex/inflation-report-ahead-what-might-it-look-like-in-the-united-states-u-s-cpi
US Initial Jobless Claims
There will also be a weekly report on the number of unemployment insurance applications today. The previous reading was negative as it rose to a higher level than expected. Current forecasts show a further increase in this number from 219K to 225K.
The expected further negative results in a row may translate into deterioration of the economy in this sector.
Crude Oil Inventories
The weekly report about change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms will be published at 17:00 CET.
Forecasts for this period show an increase from -1.356M to 1.750M. The increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices.
Summary
- 8:00 CET German Buba President Nagel Speaks
- 8:00 CET German CPI (YoY) (Sep)
- 8:00 CET German CPI (MoM) (Sep)
- 8:30 CET Switzerland PPI (MoM) (Sep)
- 10:30 CET BOE Credit Conditions Survey
- 13:00 CET BoE MPC Member Mann
- 14:30 CET US Core CPI (MoM) (Sep)
- 14:30 CET US Core CPI (YoY) (Sep)
- 14:30 CET US CPI (MoM) (Sep)
- 14:30 CET US CPI (YoY) (Sep)
- 14:30 CET US Initial Jobless Claims
- 17:00 CET Crude Oil Inventories
Source: https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/
