The dollar enjoyed a second round of support yesterday as Powell's relatively hawkish press conference continued to resonate with data-starved markets. But the conditions for another big leg higher in USD aren't there, in our view. Meanwhile, Japan has intervened verbally to curb JPY volatility, and GBP is looking closely at Reeves' political position
Industrial data for May shows that the positive trends observed in April were a one-off. Furthermore, the number of companies retaining labour is gradually decreasing due to falling demand. The outlook is gloomy, with no sign of a sudden turnaround
Recent labour market data shows that demographic decline and voluntary exits are key factors to watch out for. Meanwhile, gloomy macroeconomic conditions are leading to redundancies and reduced employee bargaining power, potentially limiting future wage growth
