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Warm Weather Dampens Natural Gas Prices: Decline Amidst Forecasts of Milder Temperatures

Warm Weather Dampens Natural Gas Prices: Decline Amidst Forecasts of Milder Temperatures
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  1. Warm weather spells trouble for Natural Gas

    Warm weather spells trouble for Natural Gas

    US natural gas prices experienced a noticeable decline with NATGAS trading nearly 4% lower at the start of the week. This downturn can be attributed to the prevailing forecasts indicating a shift towards warmer weather in the United States in the coming days as the expectation of milder temperatures has cast a shadow on natural gas prices as it suggests a potential decrease in demand, particularly at the start of the heating season. 
     
    Projections for the next 8-14 days consistently point towards above-average temperatures spanning a more extensive geographic scope across the United States and this prediction of higher-than-average temperatures intensifies the downward pressure on natural gas prices.
     
    Looking at the technical situation shows the persistence of a bearish trend since the end of October 2023.
     
    This further reflects the delicate balance between weather forecasts, demand dynamics, and market trends, emphasizing the sensitivity of natural gas prices to external factors.
     
    While this appears to be the current situation, a sudden shift towards a colder climate prediction could bring a significant rebound of prices in the near term. 

     


    Walid Koudmani

    Walid Koudmani

    Market Analyst working in UK-Italian-Arabic markets covering a broad range of assets including stocks, commodities, FX and crypto. English, Italian and Arabic Speaker with a B.A in Business Management. Quoted in many prestigious publications including the Guardian, Barrons and Lefigaro and winner of bloomberg top forecast rank Q-2/Q-3 2020. 


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