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Valuation Methods for Marvipol Development: DDM, Peer Comparison, and More

Valuation Methods for Marvipol Development: DDM, Peer Comparison, and More
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  1. Peer comparison

    DDM valuation We value Marvipol Development using the DDM method based on our financial forecasts and assumptions regarding the dividend payout ratio. The company cancelled its previous dividend policy in April’23, due to an unfavourable market environment), concurrently with a decision of no dividend payment in 2023E. In our model, we assume that starting from 2024E, the group will return to regular payments with a dividend payout ratio of 50%.

     

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    Peer comparison

    We present a multiples valuation by comparing Marvipol Development to domestic residential developers, based on the P/E and P/BV multiples. In our analysis, we give 0% weight to the method. Given our forecasts for 2023E-25E, the company currently trades at a P/E multiple of 5.0/9.6/5.8x. In the case of the P/BV multiple, the average discount to its peers is close to 70%.

     

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    GPW’s Analytical Coverage Support Programme 3.0

    GPW’s Analytical Coverage Support Programme 3.0

    The Warsaw Stock Exchange's (GPW's) Analytical Coverage Support Programme 3.0 supports investment firms in drafting analytical reports which are financed by GPW. The objective of the Programme is to improve the availability of research covering less liquid companies, facilitating investors' informed investment decisions based on a reliable independent source of issuer information. Eligible to participate in the Programme are companies listed on the GPW Main Market (other than WIG20 participants) and on NewConnect. The Programme covers up to 50 issuers.

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