USD/JPY Pair Is Trading Above 132.00, The Aussie Pair Is Near 0.6900
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The US dollar surged against its major trading partners early Monday ahead of a weak week of economic data and speeches by Fed officials resumed. The week starts calmly on Monday without key data. The US Monthly Employment Report (NFP) released on Friday showed that the economy added 517,000 jobs in January. jobs, significantly exceeding the consensus estimate. Moreover, the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 3.4%, the lowest level since May 1969.
The prevailing risk-avoiding environment – as indicated by the generally weaker tone in equity markets – provides a safe haven for the Japanese Yen (JPY) and acts as a headwind for USD/JPY.
The yen came under pressure during the Asian session after it was reported that the Japanese government had approached Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiyi as a possible successor to Governor Kuroda. Market participants are of the opinion that Lieutenant Governor Amamiya will continue the policy of Governor Kuroda. The Japanese government has since dispelled rumors that it had approached Amamiya with a new BoJ governor to be announced in February.
So USD/JPY started the week with a pattern above 132.00. Over the course of the day, the pair moved back below 132.00 but has now recovered and is trading at 132.1530.
Rising tensions between the United States and China add to the bleak mood. On Friday, President Joe Biden postponed US Secretary of State Blinken's upcoming trip to China after a suspicious Beijing observation balloon that was flying in US skies was shot down.
In terms of data, European figures were disappointing. On the one hand, Germany published December's factory orders, which fell by 10.1%YoY, much worse than expected. On the other hand, retail sales in the euro zone fell by 2.7% MoM in January.
Moreover, we are likely to hear more aggressive statements from Lagarde, citing higher core inflation and growth forecasts.
The EUR/USD pair stopped trading below 1.0790. At the beginning of the week, the EUR/USD pair is holding above 1.0765.
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The British pound has not enjoyed a good reputation lately. The economic data was not strong enough to support sterling against its rivals, while the ongoing strikes and the threat of more in the coming weeks hit the mood.
On Friday, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) will release preliminary GDP data for Q4. Growth in the UK stalled in the fourth quarter of last year and may have reversed, fueling further recession fears.
The GBP/USD pair tried to break above 1.2050 on Monday. Currently, the GBP/USD pair is trading above 1.2060.
The Australian dollar collapsed on Friday after soaring US non-farm payrolls (NFP) data pushed the US dollar higher.
Investors are cautious ahead of this week's decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia, which is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points for the ninth consecutive time.
Annual inflation in Australia rose 7.8% in December, the largest increase since 1990 and above market forecasts of 7.5%.
The Aussie pair in the early hours of trading tried to catch up and climbed above 0.6940 but failed to maintain momentum and the Aussie Pair trades below that level again near 0.6900.
Source: wsj.com, finance.yahoo.com