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USD/CAD Nears Key Support as Canadian Dollar Reacts to Inflation Data, Global Slowdown Fears Loom

USD/CAD Nears Key Support as Canadian Dollar Reacts to Inflation Data, Global Slowdown Fears Loom
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  1. USD/CAD approaches key support

    USD/CAD approaches key support

    The Canadian dollar initially weakened after headline inflation fell to a 27-month low, dropping from 3.4% to 2.8%, more than the eyed 3.0% consensus estimate.  The rates that the BOC focuses on, the so-called trim and median core rates, were a little sticky, which could suggest underlying price pressures are still too high.  The Canadian dollar has been rallying but if global slowdown fears increase, that could keep the Loonie locked in its longer-term consolidating range. The Canadian dollar has major support from the trendline beginning last June.  If price breaks below the upward sloping trendline, bearish momentum could target the 1.3020 level.  A daily close below 1.2950 could open the door for selling momentum to target the 1.2750 area.

    Inflation is making its way towards the BOC’s 2% inflation target, but it seems more tightening might not be needed to get inflation there. If Friday’s retail sales report shows the consumer remains resilient, that could trigger further Canadian dollar strength.

     

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    Ed Moya

    Ed Moya

    With more than 20 years’ trading experience, Ed Moya is a senior market analyst with OANDA, producing up-to-the-minute intermarket analysis, coverage of geopolitical events, central bank policies and market reaction to corporate news. His particular expertise lies across a wide range of asset classes including FX, commodities, fixed income, stocks and cryptocurrencies. Over the course of his career, Ed has worked with some of the leading forex brokerages, research teams and news departments on Wall Street including Global Forex Trading, FX Solutions and Trading Advantage. Most recently he worked with TradeTheNews.com, where he provided market analysis on economic data and corporate news. Based in New York, Ed is a regular guest on several major financial television networks including CNBC, Bloomberg TV, Yahoo! Finance Live, Fox Business and Sky TV. His views are trusted by the world’s most renowned global newswires including Reuters, Bloomberg and the Associated Press, and he is regularly quoted in leading publications such as MSN, MarketWatch, Forbes, Breitbart, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal. Ed holds a BA in Economics from Rutgers University.


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