USD/CAD Nears Key Support as Canadian Dollar Reacts to Inflation Data, Global Slowdown Fears Loom

The Canadian dollar initially weakened after headline inflation fell to a 27-month low, dropping from 3.4% to 2.8%, more than the eyed 3.0% consensus estimate. The rates that the BOC focuses on, the so-called trim and median core rates, were a little sticky, which could suggest underlying price pressures are still too high. The Canadian dollar has been rallying but if global slowdown fears increase, that could keep the Loonie locked in its longer-term consolidating range. The Canadian dollar has major support from the trendline beginning last June. If price breaks below the upward sloping trendline, bearish momentum could target the 1.3020 level. A daily close below 1.2950 could open the door for selling momentum to target the 1.2750 area.
Inflation is making its way towards the BOC’s 2% inflation target, but it seems more tightening might not be needed to get inflation there. If Friday’s retail sales report shows the consumer remains resilient, that could trigger further Canadian dollar strength.