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US IPO Activity — From Boom to Bust: This chart gives a sense for the magnitude and scale of the US IPO boom (and bust). Notably, IPO filings increased exponentially through the second half of 2020 into 2021. More recently though, IPO filings have tapered off rather significantly.

 
 
 

At the same time, IPO withdrawals spiked in January with a record number of IPOs withdrawn. This is not surprising given the volatility in markets and the Fed policy pivot towards tightening.

 
 
 

As a barometer for speculation and liquidity, we can clearly see the tides going in and out on this chart. Hence, I would chalk this up as another piece of evidence of the shift in sentiment — and steadily evolving risk vs return balance as this strange-yet-familiar cycle runs its course.

 
 
 
us ipo activity chart grafika numer 1us ipo activity chart grafika numer 1
 
 
 
 
 

Key point: The Fed can probably hike multiple times before sinking stocks.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

NOTE: this post first appeared on our NEW Substack: https://topdowncharts.substack.com/

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Best regards,

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Callum Thomas

 

Head of Research and Founder of Topdown Charts

 
 
 

 

 

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LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/company/topdown-charts

 

Twitter http://www.twitter.com/topdowncharts

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Callum Thomas

Callum Thomas

Head of Research

Callum is the founder and managing shareholder of Topdown Charts. His career background is in multi-asset investment management in New Zealand and Australia, with a focus on investment strategy and economics.  

Callum has a passion for global economics and asset allocation strategy and has developed strong research and analytical expertise across economies and asset classes.  Callum's approach is to deploy a blend of factors to build out a holistic picture and raise conviction. This includes valuations, monetary conditions, cyclical indicators, sentiment, and technicals.  Callum believes innovation is vital to maintaining an edge through investment research and is on a constant mission to uncover and develop new datasets, indicators, and new ways of looking at the world to drive sensible and profitable decision making by portfolio managers.

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/callum-thomas-4990063/

Twitter: https://twitter.com/Callum_Thomas


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