US Crude Oil Is Back Into Last Year’s Bearish Trend, The Latest US Jobs Data Will Likely Support The USD Bulls
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Very strong US jobs data released last Friday hit the Federal Reserve (Fed) doves, sent equities lower, the US yields and the US dollar higher.
And the latest US jobs data will likely support the US dollar bulls this week, as we don’t have much on the economic calendar that could temper Friday’s monstrously strong NFP read, and remind us that the US economy is still slowing.
Japan
Plus, the fresh selling pressure on the Japanese yen will likely give an extra hand to the Fed hawks, on weekend news that the potential new Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor, Masayoshi Amamiya will be dovish.
In the light of the latest macroeconomic developments, a revision to medium term outlook is necessary.
Forex
• The dollar-yen’s latest jump above the 130 mark could be sustainable in the short to medium run.
• The EURUSD traders may be happy to call it a good trade and retreat to the sidelines.
• Cable could sink into bearish consolidation zone.
Adani
Elsewhere, the Adani selloff enters the third week, and things go from bad to worse as in increasing number of banks don’t accept Adani holdings as collateral anymore.
US vs China
The Chinese spy balloon that was flying over some strategic points in the US renewed tensions between US and China, and that could throw a floor under the gold’s selloff.
Curde Oil
And US crude is back into last year’s bearish trend, with however risks of tight supply, and Chinese reopening hanging in the air.
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Watch the full episode to find out more!
- 0:00 Intro
- 0:31 That monstrously strong US jobs data shakes market dynamics
- 2:39 Next thing to watch!
- 3:48 Equities dive
- 5:33 USDJPY to extend gains above 130
- 6:59 EURUSD to pause rally
- 8:30 GBPUSD to slip below 1.20
- 9:43 XAU boosted by US-China’s ballooned tensions
- 10:14 US crude slips into last year’s bearish trend
Ipek Ozkardeskaya
Ipek Ozkardeskaya has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked at HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist at Swissquote Bank. She worked as a Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020.
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