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Upcoming Economic Indicators: India, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore

Upcoming Economic Indicators: India, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, Singapore
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India

Out on Wednesday, consumer inflation for June is forecasted to dip slightly to 4.1% year-on-year from 4.25% in May, the lowest level of growth since April 2021. On a month-on-month basis, consumer inflation is forecasted to inch lower to 0.3% from 0.51% in May.

Wholesale inflation for June will be released on the following day and are forecast to drop further to -3.7% year-on-year from -3.48% in May. If it turns out as expected, it will be the third consecutive month of contraction.

To wrap up the week, the balance of trade for June will be out on Friday.

Australia

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Two key soft data will be out on Tuesday; Westpac consumer confidence is expected to rise further to 3.2% month-on-month for July from 0.2% recorded in June. In contrast, the NAB Business Confidence for June is forecasted to deteriorate further to -6 from -4 in May.  

Consumer inflation expectations for Jul will be released on Thursday, it is expected to dip slightly to 4.9% from 5.2% in June.

New Zealand

The RBNZ monetary policy decision is on Wednesday, with no change expected after the central bank hiked its official cash rate for the 12th consecutive time in May. This took it to 5.5%, its highest level since December 2008. 

Japan

Out on Monday, the current account surplus for May is expected to shrink slightly to JPY1,884.5 billion from JPY1,895.1 billion in April. Bank lending for June is forecasted to drop to 1.6% year-on-year from 3.4% in May.

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Eco Watchers Survey, a gauge for Japan’s service sector sentiment is forecasted to improve further to 56 in June from 55 recorded in May, its highest reading since December 2021. If it turns out as expected, it will be the fifth consecutive month of increases for service sector sentiment.

Machinery orders for May will be released on Wednesday. The consensus is expecting a reduction in growth decline to -0.2% year-on-year from -5.9% in April.

Singapore

Flash Q2 GDP will be out on Friday; some forecasters are calling for a technical recession where -0.2% is being forecasted on a quarter-on-quarter basis for Q2. If it turns out as expected, it will be the second consecutive quarter of negative growth after Q1’s reading of -0.7% q/q.

On a year-on-year basis, Q2 GDP is forecast to come in lower at 0.1% from 0.4% recorded in Q1.  

 


Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Based in London, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a market analyst. With many years of experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while producing macroeconomic commentary. His views have been published in the Financial Times, Reuters, The Telegraph and the International Business Times, and he also appears as a regular guest commentator on the BBC, Bloomberg TV, FOX Business and SKY News. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and is recognised as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.


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