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Unraveling Market Insights: BOE's Interest Rate Decision, Turkish Central Bank's Impact on TRY, PMI Readings, and US 10-Year Bond Yields' Outlook

Unraveling Market Insights: BOE's Interest Rate Decision, Turkish Central Bank's Impact on TRY, PMI Readings, and US 10-Year Bond Yields' Outlook
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Table of contents

  1. FXMAG.COM: How will Thursday's (22.06) Bank of England interest rate decision affect GBP quotes?


      1. FXMAG.COM: How will Thursday's (22.06) Turkish central bank's decision on interest rates affect TRY quotes?
        1. FXMAG.COM: What do the latest (23.06) PMI readings say about the US and European economies? Do they signal the possibility of a " hardset landing " in America and the Old Continent?
          1. FXMAG.COM: For several months, US 10-year bond yields have been consolidating after a 2-year robust uptrend, what's next? 

            In this article, we engage in a conversation with analyst Patrick Reid to discuss the potential impact of the Bank of England's interest rate decision on GBP quotes. We also explore the Turkish central bank's upcoming interest rate decision and its potential effect on TRY quotes. Additionally, we analyze the latest PMI readings in the US and Europe, examining whether they indicate the possibility of a "hardset landing." Lastly, we delve into the consolidation of US 10-year bond yields after a strong two-year uptrend and speculate on what might lie ahead based on factors such as the Terminal Rate and US macroeconomic conditions.

             

            FXMAG.COM: How will Thursday's (22.06) Bank of England interest rate decision affect GBP quotes?

            Patrick Reid:
            The rate hike is fully priced in so the Forward Guidance on Future hikes is crucial to watch. We had a very hawkish FED which the market didn't tend to believe followed by an ECB indicating more hikes in July. 
            With regards to The BOE I feel trust is coming back but the market needs to be ready for more hikes. We have sticky Core Inflation and a mortgage crisis about to blow up.



            FXMAG.COM: How will Thursday's (22.06) Turkish central bank's decision on interest rates affect TRY quotes?

            Patrick Reid:
            I feel Turkey needs rates above 20% as the new appointment of senior officials to the Central Bank has not done much to stop its decline. 
             
             

            FXMAG.COM: What do the latest (23.06) PMI readings say about the US and European economies? Do they signal the possibility of a " hardset landing " in America and the Old Continent?

            Patrick Reid:
            ISM has been weaker in The US as of late but Friday will be key - especially for European PMI's. USD is consolidating at the yearly lows so i fell we will need a big beat of miss for this to change

             
             

            FXMAG.COM: For several months, US 10-year bond yields have been consolidating after a 2-year robust uptrend, what's next? 

            Patrick Reid:
            It all depends on The Terminal Rate and US macro. I do not see 2 Year getting above 6% this year unless inflation goes higher and GDP doesn't get much weaker.
             

            Patrick Reid

            Patrick Reid

            Patrick Reid – Financial Expert

            Patrick Reid is a currency expert with over 15 years experience in trading FX and propriety desks. He has accepted a role as Visiting Lecturer at The University of Cambridge and is Co-Founder of The Adamis Principle which mentors traders at all levels.

            During his career he has mentored clients from Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and Credit Suisse. His passion is nurturing and finding talent within young people has led him to partner with The Youth Group and Jack Parsons, The UK’s chief youth officer. Jack recently interviewed Rishi Sunak, The UK’s Chancellor of The Exchequer. Adamis Principle’s outreach to less fortunate young people is a top priority for him.

            Patrick has regular meetings with FX traders at The Bank of England for research and academic discussions only.

            Recent news

            • Patrick moderated the biggest buyside FX event last September with Trade Tech FX 27th September 2022
            • This event included the likes of Blackrock. UBS, Credit Suisse, BNY Mellon, Goldman Sachs and Natixis
            • Patrick has joined The London Speakers Bureaux alongside celebrity and financial titans such as Phillip Hammond, Nigel Farage, Bob Geldolf, Jeremy Clarkson and Priyanka Chopra.

            Patrick can comment on:

            • UK Inflation, GDP, Jobs and Wages
            • Crypto and the new world
            • G10 and Emerging Market currencies
            • Central bank policy for the US, UK and Europe
            • Bonds/Fixed Income, Equities, FX, Credit and Money Markets
            • Interest rates: The Treasury Curve, OIS and Eurodollar Futures
            • Brexit, US macro, Biden’s economic policy
            • China’s place in the rest of the world
            • Futures, Spot FX

            Patrick regularly appears on BBC1, BBC News, BBC Arabic, Talk Radio, BBC London Radio, ITV News, Channel 4 and Thomson Reuters

            He has also appeared in a variety of newspapers from tabloids to broadsheets including The Mirror, Express, Metro and The Daily Telegraph

            Follow the author on:

            Twitter | LinkedIn


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