Technical outlook:
The US dollar index rallied through 104.24 during the New York session on Wednesday before pulling back. The index is seen to be trading close to 104.00 levels at this point in writing as the bears are ready to drag the price lower towards 102.00. On the other hand, if prices break above 104.30 consistently, the bulls would want to take out resistance at 105.35 before giving up.
The US dollar index is carving a larger-degree corrective rally, which began from 100.50 on February 02, 2023. The above corrective rally is expected to terminate close to 106.50 and up to 109.30 in the next few weeks. Within the above structure, a counter-trend drop could unfold dragging prices below 102.00 before the bulls are back.
Ideally, prices should remain above 100.50 to keep the above bullish structure intact. Furthermore, a push above 105.35 will confirm and open the door towards 106.50 and 109.30 as projected on the 4H chart here. Also, note that 109.30 is the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of its earlier decline from 114.70 to 100.50, hence a bearish reaction is possible.
Trading idea:
A potential bullish move to continue against 100.50
Good luck!
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