Stuck in a two-month range: Can oil break out after Saudi and Russian cuts?

Oil prices are higher again today but still remain within their two-month range. The rally has been aided by the cuts announced by Saudi Arabia and Russia this week but ultimately, another failure to break above the range will suggest traders have largely shrugged it off.
The previous high in Brent two weeks ago came just above $77 and a failure to hit that will represent yet another lower peak over the last month or so and may, therefore, merely confirm that we remain in a very gradual consolidation. We do appear to have seen a slight uptick in momentum over the last couple of days though so perhaps we’re going to see a real test of the previous peak, a break of which could be quite bullish.