Readying for Hawkish Fed
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S&P 500 made two runs over 4,300, yet was rejected in each. Bonds though didn‘t paint universally negative picture – only the sectoral composition of the decline did. Whatever caught up Friday and before, saw progress dialed back yesterday. Not on huge volume, and given the HYG price action, we‘re likely to see buyers stepping in after the opening bell‘s selling.
Encouragingly, stocks didn‘t tank on RBA or poor German data, precious metals remain relatively strong, but cracks in the tech dam are starting to emerge – AAPL, and NVDA a bit. Thus far, the market is more likely to offer intraday opportunities in line with my latest offering than a real tactically shorting one (that‘s approaching, but not yet quite here). Seems though 4,320 to be a tough nut to crack in June...
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Let‘s move right into the charts (all courtesy of www.stockcharts.com) – today‘s full scale article contains 4 of them.
S&P 500 and Nasdaq Outlook
The call for decreasing momentum and consolidation of Friday‘s sharp gains worked out, and stocks broke even below 4,283 test, doing so after (and not before) heading for the 4,305 resistance. That gives slight upper hand to the sellers today, but 4,247 should hold (and not even be seriously approached).
Credit Markets
Junk bonds held up actually well yesterday, and as long as $74.20 holds today, ES buyers can come back later this week. Low volume session in a tight range would be ideal for such an outcome.
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