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Gold (XAU/USD) Maintains Medium-Term Uptrend Despite Recent Slide

Gold (XAU/USD) Maintains Medium-Term Uptrend Despite Recent Slide
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    1. The medium-term uptrend remains intact
      • Medium-term uptrend of Gold (XAU/USD) remains intact.
      • Its recent slide of -1.7% from the 20 July 2023 high of US$1,987.53 has pull-backed close to its 50-day moving average.
      • Short-term elements suggest a potential bullish reversal for Gold (XAU/USD) with key support at US$1,939.

      This is a follow-up analysis of our prior report, “Resilient gold is supported by geopolitical risk” published on 11 July 2023. Click here for a recap.

      Gold (XAU/USD) has staged the bullish breakout above US$1,940 and rallied to an intraday high of US$1,987.53 on 20 July 2023, just a whisker away from the US$1,990 resistance (former congestion support zone from 10 April 2023 to 16 May 2023).

       

      The medium-term uptrend remains intact

      gold xau usd maintains medium term uptrend despite recent slide grafika numer 1gold xau usd maintains medium term uptrend despite recent slide grafika numer 1

       

      Fig 1: Gold (XAU/USD) medium-term trend of 25 Jul 2023 (Source: TradingView, click to enlarge chart)

      Despite the recent slide of -1.7% from the 20 July 2023 high to print an intraday low of US$1,953.28, the medium-term uptrend phase of Gold (XAU/USD) in place since the 3 November 2022 low of US$1,616 remains intact as it price actions held right above the 50-day moving average at this time of the writing.

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      Kelvin Wong

      Kelvin Wong

      Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities. Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an expert in using a unique combination of fundamental and technical analyses, specializing in Elliott Wave and fund flow positioning, to pinpoint key reversal levels in the financial markets. In addition, over the last ten years, Kelvin has conducted numerous market outlook and trading-related seminars, as well as technical analysis training courses, for thousands of retail traders.

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