GBP/USD Trading Analysis: Strategies for Success Amid Volatility

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading GBP/USD

The test of 1.2623 on Monday afternoon, coinciding with the drop of the MACD line from zero, prompted a sell signal that should have led to a price decrease. However, the signal only resulted in losses, as the bearish market did not continue. Data on the UK's service and composite PMI lies ahead, and they could lead to a further drop in GBP/USD provided that the reports show a downward revision. This means that market players should be inclined more to short positions, especially in the morning. If sellers do not show activity after updating the monthly lows, it may be appropriate to consider long positions.

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For long positions:

Buy when pound hits 1.2621 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2671 (thicker green line on the chart). Growth will occur amid very good PMI data. However, when buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or just starts to rise from it. Pound can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.2570, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2621 and 1.2671.

For short positions:

Sell when pound reaches 1.2570 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.2530. Pressure will increase amid weak statistics. However, when selling, ensure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Pound can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.2621, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.2570 and 1.2530.

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What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy GBP/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell GBP/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

 

Important:

Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes. And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.