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Forex: Two Possible Scenarios For US Dollar To Japanese Yen (USD/JPY)

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The structure of the USDJPY currency shows the formation of a global impulse trend, which consists of cycle waves

forex two possible scenarios for us dollar to japanese yen usd jpy grafika numer 1forex two possible scenarios for us dollar to japanese yen usd jpy grafika numer 1

On the current chart, we see how the price rises in a cycle wave V.

Wave V, apparently, takes the form of a 5-wave impulse ①-②-③-④-⑤ of the primary degree. In the specified pulse, the first four parts look completed.

forex two possible scenarios for us dollar to japanese yen usd jpy grafika numer 2forex two possible scenarios for us dollar to japanese yen usd jpy grafika numer 2

Currently, we assume the construction of the primary fifth wave, which takes the form of an intermediate impulse. The price in the final primary wave ⑤ may rise to 148.09.

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At that price level, wave V will be at 200% of previous cycle impulse III.

forex two possible scenarios for us dollar to japanese yen usd jpy grafika numer 3forex two possible scenarios for us dollar to japanese yen usd jpy grafika numer 3

An alternative scenario shows that the entire cycle wave V has already completely ended in the form of a primary impulse.

Thus, in the next coming trading weeks, we can expect a fall in the exchange rate and the formation of a new bearish trend.

In the short term we may see the formation of bearish impulse, which will consist of primary sub-waves ① -② -③ -④ -⑤, as shown on the chart, where the first two small sub-waves ① - ② have already been built.

The upcoming decline may reach the area of 130.43, that is, the previous minimum of fluctuations, and then even lower.

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Jing Ren

Jing Ren

Jing-Ren has extensive experience in currency and commodities trading. He began his career in metal sales and trading at Societe Generale in London. Later on he worked as a senior analyst within the FX brokerage industry where he developed strategies in trading and risk management. With solid understanding of market dynamics he founded Wensfer to offer research and asset management services.


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