Forex: Euro against US dollar - technical analysis by InstaForex's Mourad El Keddani (January 3rd)
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Overview :
The EUR/USD pair drops sharply today but stays above 1.0520 resistance turned support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.0520 will confirm short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 1 hour RSI(14). Deeper fall would be seen back to 1.0520 support and below.
Focus stays on 38.2% retracement Fibonacci levels of 1.0594 (morning high) to 1.0548 at 1.0520. Rejection by 1.0594 will suggest that price actions from 1.0520 medium term bottom are developing into a corrective pattern. Thus, medium bearishness is retained for another fall through 1.0500 at a later stage.
The EUR/USD pair traded lower and closed the day in the red near the price of 1.0548. Today it, on the contrary, grew a little, having risen to the level of 1.0594. On the hourly chart the EUR/USD pair is still trading below the moving average line MA (100) H1 (1.0594). The situation is similar on the four-hour chart. Based on the foregoing, it is probably worth sticking to the south direction in trading, and as long as the EUR/USD pair remains below MA 100 H1, it may be necessary to look for entry points to sell for the formation of a correction.
The EUR/USD pair hit the weekly pivot point (1.0594) and resistance 1, because of the series of relatively equal highs and equal lows. But, the pair has dropped down in order to bottom at the point of 10520. Hence, the major support was already set at the level of 1.0520.
RSI is still calling for a strong bullish market as well as the current price is also above the moving average 100
Moreover, the double bottom is also coinciding with the major support this week. Additionally, the RSI is still calling for a strong bullish market as well as the current price is also above the moving average 100. Therefore, it will be advantageous to sell below the resistance area of 1.0594 with the first target at 1.0500.
From this point, if the pair closes below the weekly pivot point of 1.0594, the EUR/USD pair may resume it movement to 1.0500 to test the weekly support 1. the, continue towards 1.0450 (the weekly support 2).
Stop loss should always be taken into account, accordingly, it will be of beneficial to set the stop loss above the last bullish wave at 1.0639 .
However, sustained break of 1.0594 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0639.
On the upside, however, firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.0639 to 1.0671 from 1.0671 at 1.0713 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0713.
Relevance up to 18:00 2023-01-04 UTC+1 Company does not offer investment advice and the analysis performed does not guarantee results. The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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