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Forecasting the Future of Bitcoin: Analyzing Critical Price Levels for the Second Half of 2023

Forecasting the Future of Bitcoin: Analyzing Critical Price Levels for the Second Half of 2023
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  1. FXMAG: How do you think the price of Bitcoin will fall in the second half of 2023?

    First and foremost, it is essential to acknowledge that predicting the future price movements of any market, including Bitcoin, comes with inherent challenges. The complexity of financial markets and the multitude of factors that influence them can make forecasting akin to predicting the weather – as we venture further into the future, the uncertainties increase, and accuracy becomes more elusive.

    That being said, the recent performance of BTC indicates a clear resistance level at 32,000, with signs of decreased flows observed among various market participants. As we look towards the medium to long term, it is prudent to consider critical price levels at around 27,900 (-3.9%), 25,500 (-12.2%), and 21,500 (-25%). These levels are likely to witness intense battles between holders and sellers, with potential shifts in sentiment impacting price movements.

    A crucial threshold to watch closely is 27.9k; a breach of this level could signal a break in this year's bullish channel, which, as of now, remains intact. However, it is vital to maintain perspective, even in the worst-case scenario, and currently, we are not contemplating anything below the last level of 21,500.

     

    FXMAG: How do you think the price of Bitcoin will fall in the second half of 2023?

    First of all, readers should understand that forecasting the markets is in some ways similar to forecasting the weather: the further you go in time, the more unforeseen factors you have to take into account and the more difficult it is to have a truly professional estimate.

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    That said, BTC has found a ceiling at 32k and it seems that various market makers are seeing their flows decrease lately. The medium to long term levels to take into account are around 27,900 (-3.9%), 25,500 (-12.2%) and 21,500 (-25%). Each of them will see a struggle between Holders and Sellers, while a break of the former (27.9k) would effectively sanction the break of this year's bullish channel - still intact at the moment. Even in the worst-case scenario, which is still a long way from happening, we are not considering anything below the last level for now.


     


    Marco Turatti

    Marco Turatti

    HFM Analyst

    After working for about 10 years in institutional trading rooms across Europe, Marco entered the FX sector as an analyst leveraging his knowledge of the financial markets. With a degree in Economics, from 2007 onwards he has constantly -and sometimes obsessively- studied and improved his trading and risk management techniques through active and direct investments.

    He is a firm believer in the need to know  completely the securities one is dealing with, to always have a plan B ready, to build a macro view from which to derive the micro plan of action and -above all- to be strict with the rules one has set oneself, without taking anything personally.

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