Chinese Deflation: Inflation Softens as Tech Giants Face Eased Regulatory Pressure, Oil Prices Rally

Chinese deflation

Chinese deflation

The Chinese inflation came in unexpectedly soft in June. Consumer prices fell 0.2% m-o-m, as the decline in producer prices accelerated more than expected to 5.4% y-o-y. The Chinese efforts to boost economy and inflation are not working. That's maybe why the Chinese regulators chose to ease pressure on their tech giants. Last Friday, the regulators finally ended a yearlong inspection of Alibaba's Ant Group and said that the tech industry will see 'normalized supervision'. Alibaba shares jumped 8% in New York last Friday but would that be enough to bring investor confidence back is not sure yet.

The morose Chinese inflation limited appetite in oil this morning in Asia, but the price of a barrel of crude rallied past the $73pb to the 100-DMA last Friday, as the fresh round of production cuts from Ryad and Moscow slowly but surely brought the oil bulls back to the battlefield as long-term supply worries started weighing on mood in the bears' camp. Trend and momentum indicators are now comfortably bullish, and hint that the rally could extend. The next natural target for the oil bulls is the 200-DMA, which stands near the $77pb level.

Ipek Ozkardeskaya

Ipek Ozkardeskaya provides market analysis on FX, leading market indices, individual stocks, oil, commodities, bonds and interest rates.

She has begun her financial career in 2010 in the structured products desk of the Swiss Banque Cantonale Vaudoise. She worked in HSBC Private Bank in Geneva in relation to high and ultra-high net worth clients. In 2012, she started as FX Strategist in Swissquote Bank. She worked as Senior Market Analyst in London Capital Group in London and in Shanghai. She returned to Swissquote Bank as Senior Analyst in 2020.

She is passionate about the interaction between the economy and financial markets. She has been observing and analyzing a wide variety of relationships between the economic fundamentals and market behaviour over the past decade. She has been privileged to live and to work in the world's most exciting financial hubs including Geneva, London and Shanghai.

She has a Bachelor's Degree in Economics and a Master's Degree in Financial Engineering and Risk Management from the University of Lausanne (HEC Lausanne), Switzerland.

Chinese Deflation: Inflation Softens as Tech Giants Face Eased Regulatory Pressure, Oil Prices Rally

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Chinese deflation

Ipek Ozkardeskaya

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