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Bullish Reversal Potential as Price Actions Show Oversold Condition and Bullish Candlestick Pattern

Bullish Reversal Potential as Price Actions Show Oversold Condition and Bullish Candlestick Pattern
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  1. Oversold condition with bullish Japanese candlestick

    Oversold condition with bullish Japanese candlestick

    The four weeks decline in the price actions has led the 4-hour RSI oscillator into an extremely oversold level of 23.3 level on 6 July 2023 which was the lowest oversold reading since the 15 March 2023 level of 20.9 that coincided with the start of the current medium-term uptrend phase of the Index.

    Secondly, the current intraday price actions have also formed an hourly bullish “Hammer” Japanese candlestick pattern which suggests a potential change in sentiment from negative to positive on the short-term horizon.

    These two elements (oversold reading in the 4-hour RSI coupled with hourly bullish “Hammer” Japanese candlestick) have taken shape right above the medium-term ascending channel support of 31,530 and the upward-sloping 50-day moving average.

    Watch the 31,530 key medium-term pivotal support to maintain a potential bullish reversal with the next resistances coming in at 32,730 and 33,200 (also the 20-day moving average).

    However, a break below 31,530 invalidates the bullish tone to expose the next support at 30,720.

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    Kelvin Wong

    Kelvin Wong

    Based in Singapore, Kelvin Wong is a well-established senior global macro strategist with over 15 years of experience trading and providing market research on foreign exchange, stock markets, and commodities. Passionate about connecting the dots in the financial markets and sharing perspectives around trading and investment, Kelvin Wong is an expert in using a unique combination of fundamental and technical analyses, specializing in Elliott Wave and fund flow positioning, to pinpoint key reversal levels in the financial markets. In addition, over the last ten years, Kelvin has conducted numerous market outlook and trading-related seminars, as well as technical analysis training courses, for thousands of retail traders.

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