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Bank of New Zealand with another rate hike

Bank of New Zealand with another rate hike| FXMAG.COM
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand today raised its main interest rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 3 percent, a level last seen seven years ago. It was the fourth 50-basis point hike in the current cycle, which may make the RBNZ one of the stronger monetary tightening central banks to bring down inflation. 

Today's hike was in line with market expectations. Some policymakers believe that inflation may soon begin to stabilize or even start to decline through lower fuel prices and transportation prices. However, inflation may not return to the New Zealand central bank's target until mid-2024.

Thus, further monetary tightening may be required, with its end expected in the first quarter of 2023 - according to a statement issued to today's decision. As a result, the RBNZ may raise the main interest rate by about 3.75 percentage points throughout the cycle, to 4 percent, from the record low of 0.25 percent that occurred in 2021. Inflation in New Zealand rose to 7.3 percent y/y in the second quarter of 2022, up from 6.9 percent in the previous period. This was the highest figure since the second quarter of 1990.

The NZD/USD exchange rate seemed to react relatively calmly to the above decision, as it was in line with the market consensus. At 07:30 GMT+3 on the Conotoxia MT5 platform, the NZD/USD exchange rate rose by 0.25 percent, to 0.6360. As a result, at this hour, of the major currencies against the US dollar, it is the NZD that seems to have gained the most. Since the beginning of the month, the NZD has gained 1.10 percent to the USD, which may make New Zealand's currency the strongest of the world's major currencies.


Daniel Kostecki

Daniel Kostecki

Daniel Kostecki is an award-winning senior market analyst and a Director of the Polish branch of Conotoxia Ltd.

He is a victor of the FxCuffs statuette for "Blog of the Year" and "Personality of the Year".
He has 15 years of experience on the financial markets and a diploma in Economics from the University of Szczecin in Poland. Daniel is privately connected to the financial markets since 2007 and professionally - since 2010. Author of numerous commentaries and analyses of the situation on the financial markets and a guest on Polish TV, press and radio.


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